Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 3,460 | 60.0¢ | $2.13K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,039 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 2,021 | 45.7¢ | $1.24K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 1,441 | 56.2¢ | $886 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 1,407 | 46.7¢ | $542 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 1,350 | 44.6¢ | $520 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 1,314 | 49.1¢ | $506 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |