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Topic · Macro
17 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 17
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Dec 31
in 80 days
Proven traders lean No on Below 3.8% · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No on Below 3.7% | $5.9K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:56 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on Below 3.8% |
| $5.0K |
| Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $3.3K | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No on Below 3.9% | $2.9K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No on 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $2.1K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No on 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $933 | – |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $658 | – |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $606 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $520 | – |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $508 | – |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $506 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $385 | – |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No on Below 3.9% | $351 | – |
| title10xbe74…a70e | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $324 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $313 | – |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $313 | – |
| DeadLimper0x9ad7…9075 | No on Below 3.9% | $279 | – |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No on Below 3.5% | $256 | – |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No on Below 3.5% | $227 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Teshub0xa5d3…a6c6 | No on Below 3.5% | $211 | Proven+$31.54 per $100 · 160 bets |
| Itami0x9180…fb11 | No on Below 3.9% | $210 | – |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $203 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930 bets |
| 0x66be…f30e | No on Below 3.9% | $195 | – |
| 0x440e…4907 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $194 | – |
| alvin05070x77c0…a433 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $193 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.