Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 460 | 84.7¢ | $443 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 170 | 86.6¢ | $164 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 150 | 94.3¢ | $145 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 31 | 95.2¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 23 | 95.2¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 295 | 16.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| trader-c6777f270xc677…677a | No | 5 | 84.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 109 | 11.4¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 90 | 11.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 70 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| wheatherman0xebf0…30e6 | Yes | 60 | 20.5¢ | $2 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 55 | 24.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 45.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| superaiapi0xd04e…122e | Yes | 22 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | 7 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 5 | 22.6¢ | $0 | — |
| chaosj890xf085…02af | Yes | 3 | 10.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 5,508 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 18.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.