Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 1,337 | 96.2¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 265 | 97.2¢ | $261 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No | 234 | 74.0¢ | $230 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 87 | 90.3¢ | $86 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 460 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| Teshub0xa5d3…a6c6 | No | 7 | 95.2¢ | $7 | Proven+$31.54 per $100 · 160 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 408 | 1.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| barenverge0x4eb6…5e8a | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 251 | 2.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 206 | 11.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 120 | 7.7¢ | $2 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 114 | 6.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | No | 2 | 61.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 69 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 50 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 50 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | 25 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | Yes | 22 | 13.9¢ | $0 | — |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | Yes | 21 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 21 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Brianm0xa8da…d488 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf609…7ad8 | Yes | 16 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 15 | 30.5¢ | $0 | — |
| NatalieJones52940x18fa…3730 | Yes | 11 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 11 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| striveboy0xa577…a22a | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 8 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 9df0x4c9e…190b | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 5 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 5 | 29.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Romannito0xc04f…06b0 | Yes | 5 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hitfar0x16b4…168f | Yes | 4 | 26.5¢ | $0 | — |
| NewsGurus0xc278…a116 | Yes | 3 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 3 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 26lkkdasdsa0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | 0 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plaiddd0xd66d…af66 | Yes | 0 | 47.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| angb8100x9a14…1c26 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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