Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 1,646 | 95.3¢ | $1.63K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 257 | 91.8¢ | $254 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pako0x71ed…d338 |
| No |
| 230 |
| 81.8¢ |
| $227 |
| Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Teshub0xa5d3…a6c6 | No | 132 | 94.3¢ | $131 | Proven+$31.54 per $100 · 160 bets |
| Happygamer0x06af…3741 | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $99 | — |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 95 | 75.4¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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