Market · 4 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 121.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 770 | 2.0¢ | $108 | — |
| Threepeeo0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | 168 | 13.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Morarin0xc49c…71f1 | Yes | 110 | 15.6¢ | $15 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 40 | 15.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| belsand20x8845…360e | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.