Market · 4 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 770 | 2.0¢ | $104 | — |
| Threepeeo0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | 246 | 13.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Morarin0xc49c…71f1 | Yes | 110 | 15.6¢ | $15 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 40 | 15.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| belsand20x8845…360e | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 7 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.