Market · 8 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | No | 136 | 95.0¢ | $129 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $51 | — |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 34 | 95.4¢ | $32 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 317 | 4.7¢ | $16 | — |
| OnlyFans0x860b…5956 | No | 6 | 95.2¢ | $6 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.