Market · 9 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 110.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | $192 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Threepeeo0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | 228 | 3.0¢ | $9 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 45 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 35 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.