Market · 21 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 105.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jyuyhgrr0x3192…5ae9 | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $43 | — |
| 6hsdfhd35f0x24f0…b44c | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $38 | — |
| idhgfhhh60xec51…45ac | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| 845GHJK0x1123…c4da | No | 30 | 99.7¢ | $30 | — |
| WANJUKL0x4a7b…ceab | No | 27 | 99.8¢ | $27 | — |
| mnbvsdbvdge5ds0x6517…ecc8 | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $22 | New74 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.