Market · 21 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 1,572 | 0.3¢ | $722 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,569 | 0.2¢ | $721 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,059 | 0.5¢ | $486 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 1,040 | 3.8¢ | $478 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 988 | 0.4¢ | $454 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $409 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 857 | 3.9¢ | $394 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 373 | 3.8¢ | $172 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 331 | 0.3¢ | $152 | — |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $138 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 283 | 3.8¢ | $130 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 214 | 0.3¢ | $99 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $92 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $92 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $78 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 116 | 3.8¢ | $53 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Kaely9720xfc02…3a9d | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $46 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 53 | 3.8¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jyuyhgrr0x3192…5ae9 | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $23 | — |
| 6hsdfhd35f0x24f0…b44c | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $21 | — |
| idhgfhhh60xec51…45ac | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| 845GHJK0x1123…c4da | No | 30 | 99.7¢ | $16 | — |
| WANJUKL0x4a7b…ceab | No | 27 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 29 | 0.1¢ | $13 | — |
| mnbvsdbvdge5ds0x6517…ecc8 | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $12 | New74 settled bets |
| 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | 25 | 0.3¢ | $11 | — |
| rydv0xa492…9e0c | No | 12 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| utsdcbfhfl0x2966…d535 | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| iureddhjgfc0xfc36…08bf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,322 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.