Market · 12 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 105.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 199 | 97.5¢ | $194 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,500 | 2.0¢ | $40 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $39 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 30 | 97.1¢ | $29 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 27 | 97.4¢ | $26 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 715 | 3.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.