Market · 5 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 105.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 265 | 89.1¢ | $237 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,500 | 2.0¢ | $158 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $155 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 129 | 88.5¢ | $116 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 84 | 90.2¢ | $75 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.