Market · 5 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 448 | 87.9¢ | $403 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,500 | 2.0¢ | $150 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 164 | 85.8¢ | $148 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $147 | — |
| HappyPumba0xfee1…746f | Yes | 1,285 | 12.2¢ | $129 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 1,040 | 3.8¢ | $104 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $89 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 850 | 11.6¢ | $85 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 84 | 86.6¢ | $75 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 80 | 90.5¢ | $72 | — |
| 0x0624…3c1d | No | 50 | 87.4¢ | $45 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 416 | 5.4¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Nil-Bta-Sanata0x3642…0b81 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 86.6¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,913 bets |
| FTRxlp0x27a2…0ce0 | Yes | 133 | 15.6¢ | $13 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 130 | 3.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| Dudufudu0x2923…77d5 | Yes | 127 | 10.9¢ | $13 | — |
| larry190xcf48…c857 | No | 13 | 89.0¢ | $12 | — |
| rains450x5fff…3cf1 | Yes | 110 | 14.0¢ | $11 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 103 | 3.8¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | Yes | 100 | 8.5¢ | $10 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | $9 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 76 | 3.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 69 | 11.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Emmymiles0x2251…23d0 | Yes | 68 | 11.5¢ | $7 | — |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | Yes | 54 | 10.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 50 | 14.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 0xa775…334e | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $5 | — |
| haraldNine0xed3f…a9e4 | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xccb7…e922 | Yes | 43 | 12.2¢ | $4 | — |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 41 | 2.0¢ | $4 | — |
| xjdong0x6715…690f | Yes | 38 | 8.4¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 27 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 25 | 6.3¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Uncle07330x13d3…1c8f | Yes | 25 | 12.5¢ | $3 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 23 | 10.3¢ | $2 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 22 | 9.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 2 | 88.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 17 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| LLLivesky0x21ca…450a | Yes | 12 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Certifiedcracked0x0b57…eccc | Yes | 10 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 10 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2550…862a | Yes | 9 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c99…c772 | Yes | 9 | 11.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 146 bets |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 8 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| pepehozec0x6d5f…d443 | Yes | 7 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Petervonfossat0x51b6…733c | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $892K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.