Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 521 | 76.0¢ | $420 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 200 | 78.0¢ | $161 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xe432…934a |
| Yes |
| 657 |
| 21.0¢ |
| $128 |
| Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,790 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 224 | 20.8¢ | $44 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 200 | 35.0¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 199 | 20.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 31 | 80.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 27 | 73.8¢ | $22 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | 111 | 20.4¢ | $22 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 110 | 20.8¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| Specialist2003030xfad9…f138 | Yes | 107 | 20.0¢ | $21 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 21.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 24 | 81.0¢ | $19 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 21 | 78.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 2,089 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 51 | 21.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| 0x377f…e8f9 | No | 9 | 77.1¢ | $7 | Proven+$7.36 per $100 · 217 bets |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 20 | 42.0¢ | $4 | — |
| chimpboy0x320b…a74c | Yes | 16 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 15 | 22.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 15 | 21.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 9 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 6 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 0 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| 0x8e83…f4a3 | Yes | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| shgrkybo80x45ac…d2bb | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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