Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 21.4¢ | +2.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 55.3¢ | +36.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 85.2¢ | +66.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 85.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 18¢.
About $587 can be bought and $807 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 18.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:39 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.