Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 163 | 1.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 114 | 5.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 90 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | New47 settled bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 36 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.