Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.7¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 93 | 7.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 90 | 6.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 90 | 6.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 32 | 6.6¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.