Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 95.2¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 150 | 8.3¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| WhiteRiceHoldCo0xeb03…5d15 | Yes | 100 | 15.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 16 | 91.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 12.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.