Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 85.9¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 262 | 11.2¢ | $28 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 68 | 16.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 44 | 18.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 44 | 13.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.