Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 85.2¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 272 | 11.2¢ | $41 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 205 | 11.6¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 44 | 18.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 30 | 6.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 4 | 85.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 13 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 12 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| gthdtrlij549y890x3076…ee3a | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 0 | 89.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 82.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.