Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 95.0¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| Flinken0x4050…32f3 | Yes | 214 | 1.5¢ | $8 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 77 | 4.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 38 | 5.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| risknot30x61f2…e2ae | Yes | 11 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 114.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.