Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 89.5¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 21 | 91.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 155 | 8.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 107 | 9.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 10.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 80 | 6.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 113.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.