Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 91.1¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 21 | 91.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 160 | 8.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 155 | 8.0¢ | $11 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 10.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 80 | 6.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0xd43f…c66b | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 27 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 17 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,592+ bets · updating |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | New47 settled bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 11 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,848 bets |
| JuanPG760x3c2c…4fe5 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BlockchainBardf33f30x0bb6…c094 | Yes | 2 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 89.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.