Market · 8 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 95.8¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| AlexielLucifen0x53a6…b412 | Yes | 109 | 0.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 100 | 6.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 78 | 2.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Flinken0x4050…32f3 | Yes | 30 | 7.1¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.