Market · 11 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 113.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.4¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| AlexielLucifen0x53a6…b412 | Yes | 198 | 1.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 83 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 47 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 13 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.