Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 97.2¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| AlexielLucifen0x53a6…b412 | Yes | 198 | 1.0¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 2.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 103 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 47 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 13 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 11 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,848 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| General0xc613…c749 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.