Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | $252 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 206 | 89.3¢ | $173 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| sinnerj0xb6ed…1ae4 | Yes | 772 | 15.6¢ | $124 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 86 | 92.0¢ | $72 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $42 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $42 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 113.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.