Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 157 | 89.3¢ | $124 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 61 | 87.9¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| sinnerj0xb6ed…1ae4 | Yes | 225 | 15.6¢ | $46 | — |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 200 | 7.0¢ | $41 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| WhiteRiceHoldCo0xeb03…5d15 | Yes | 100 | 16.7¢ | $21 | — |
| murkot0x11c2…c07e | Yes | 94 | 16.7¢ | $19 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 16 | 92.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 59 | 24.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 50 | 25.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 25.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 13 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 1 | 86.6¢ | $1 | New48 settled bets |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | 0 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.