Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 86.1¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 171 | 14.1¢ | $18 | — |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $18 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 79 | 17.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 70 | 6.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 47 | 15.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.