Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 86.1¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 171 | 14.1¢ | $18 | — |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $18 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 79 | 17.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 70 | 6.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 47 | 15.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 38 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 33 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 18 | 11.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 9 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JuanPG760x3c2c…4fe5 | Yes | 6 | 16.7¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 81.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.