Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 112.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 91.4¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $29 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 31 | 86.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 151 | 14.0¢ | $22 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| murkot0x11c2…c07e | Yes | 99 | 13.6¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.