Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 89.8¢ | $52 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $27 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 31 | 86.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 151 | 14.0¢ | $20 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| murkot0x11c2…c07e | Yes | 99 | 13.6¢ | $13 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 36 | 13.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 33 | 14.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 21 | 5.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,549 bets |
| 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 12 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 11 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,826 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 87.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,803 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.