Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 96.1¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,985 bets |
| Flinken0x4050…32f3 | Yes | 214 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 77 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | Yes | 76 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 38 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 17 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,974 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.