Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 92.4¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 150 | 8.3¢ | $19 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| WhiteRiceHoldCo0xeb03…5d15 | Yes | 100 | 15.6¢ | $13 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 12.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 51 | 11.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $6 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 18 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 17 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,497+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 14 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 11 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 4 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,777 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.