Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 13.8¢ | +8.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 42.3¢ | +36.8 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $33.4K can be bought and $34.9K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:32 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play