Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 13.3¢ | +7.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 41.4¢ | +35.9 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $35.5K can be bought and $35.4K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 07:08 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
183 traders bet this week. 4 bets were $10K or more, and $65.5K of that went on Yes, mostly on Oct 11.