Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 6.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 13.5¢ | +8.0 pts |
| $500,000 | 41.7¢ | +36.2 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $34.7K can be bought and $34.8K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 03:04 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play