Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 28.1¢ | +11.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 47.3¢ | +30.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 76.1¢ | +59.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 91.2¢ | +74.7 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $29 can be bought and $977 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:21 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play