Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 25.6¢ | +10.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 41.5¢ | +26.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 72.3¢ | +56.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 90.2¢ | +74.7 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $106 can be bought and $978 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 15.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:55 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play