Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 2,325 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 590 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| testingjp0x8592…c329 | Yes | 400 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 295 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 286 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 240 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 98.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.