Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 8 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mECH0x4891…14f3 | No | 162 | 98.9¢ | $162 | — |
| Htfujb0xc0c6…9326 | No | 104 | 96.2¢ | $104 | — |
| Vaaal0x67f2…e36d | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| dayuqisan0xaa73…19d0 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $100 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,039 bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 53,096 | 0.8¢ | $80 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.