Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb8b8…5c6f | No | 108 | 99.4¢ | $108 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 105 | 96.4¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x21f5…0cae | No | 102 | 99.4¢ | $102 | — |
| dayuqisan0xaa73…19d0 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,039 bets |
| vsfsrew0x4fe3…6b70 | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 8 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.