Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 8 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lolykat0xb8da…c945 | No | 3,748 | 99.7¢ | $3.74K | — |
| marineann0x83b7…cc14 | No | 2,808 | 99.7¢ | $2.8K | New55 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 65,398 |
| 0.8¢ |
| $229 |
| Proven+$13.26 per $100 · 1,733 bets |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 42,109 | 3.0¢ | $147 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 37,243 | 0.8¢ | $130 | Proven+$7.48 per $100 · 1,193 bets |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 31,764 | 0.4¢ | $111 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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