Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb8b8…5c6f | No | 108 | 99.4¢ | $108 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 105 | 96.4¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x21f5…0cae | No | 102 | 99.4¢ | $102 | — |
| dayuqisan0xaa73…19d0 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| vsfsrew0x4fe3…6b70 | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| bugfinder0x233e…f18b | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| PolskaGUROM0x0951…f740 | No | 34 | 99.8¢ | $34 | — |
| nuuyuni0x385c…a5c8 | No | 31 | 99.9¢ | $31 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 59,998 | 0.1¢ | $30 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| wool0x78d5…06ff | No | 23 | 99.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Y8vBQfh0x809f…bde1 | No | 21 | 96.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 3423470x3709…d526 | No | 21 | 97.5¢ | $21 | — |
| pathour0xb461…67fc | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 39,367 | 0.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$6.93 per $100 · 1,773 bets |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 38,807 | 0.2¢ | $19 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 34,195 | 0.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,848 bets |
| fewsad0x4cc2…3e84 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| ghfjghrhgdg0x3811…f30a | No | 16 | 96.2¢ | $16 | — |
| gfdsazxc0x6727…82a8 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| yytfghjkase20x4b38…92da | No | 15 | 96.4¢ | $15 | — |
| ETHBIBER0x316f…4b13 | No | 14 | 96.8¢ | $14 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 14 | 96.7¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 28,227 | 0.4¢ | $14 | Positive+$12.27 per $100 · 3,945 bets |
| JBWithMoney0x0b2a…ea36 | Yes | 27,598 | 2.4¢ | $14 | — |
| io000x2a69…8e3b | No | 13 | 96.3¢ | $13 | — |
| donkd0xe682…c4e8 | No | 13 | 99.9¢ | $13 | — |
| 87yhi0xbf8c…c51b | No | 13 | 99.9¢ | $13 | — |
| iouyyr0x2187…294f | No | 12 | 96.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xhffdg4440xec04…bfe0 | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| benqa0x166d…bbe2 | No | 11 | 97.4¢ | $11 | — |
| dfgwwjouiui0x2470…72c5 | No | 11 | 96.3¢ | $11 | — |
| Transh0xa6ef…2bd7 | No | 11 | 97.9¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5d89…f157 | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $10 | — |
| marinass0x746a…1dc2 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| toppuww0xb744…0403 | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| anna2590xdb5d…57c4 | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Savagers0x3137…6eed | No | 8 | 97.9¢ | $8 | — |
| HTGHFRS0x5d24…d3a8 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| hddtr0xe42c…6dc6 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| zxsum0xea5e…eb77 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xb8d7…6f40 | Yes | 12,600 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Gelga4200x043c…442d | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| TajmaBlazevic0x7db5…50c2 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | New52 settled bets |
| NXSEFDSAsNCX0x8009…3e9a | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Minitest0xf9c3…3d81 | No | 5 | 96.3¢ | $5 | — |
| TooPoorRightNow0xcec8…6c77 | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| linux.xx10xc8a0…5cc4 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | — |
| florenceb0x980c…e98b | No | 4 | 97.0¢ | $4 | — |
| TravisWebbJ0x2db0…4483 | No | 4 | 96.8¢ | $4 | — |
| JummyFartt0xf61e…5768 | No | 4 | 97.0¢ | $4 | — |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 7,723 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| InfiniteCrypt00x9c66…6b66 | Yes | 6,892 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.34 per $100 · 557 bets |
| dse5560x110b…5adf | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | — |
| gghde450xd1e8…8a26 | No | 3 | 99.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Moteros0x18a1…5868 | No | 3 | 99.3¢ | $3 | New44 settled bets |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 5,696 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.56 per $100 · 11,141 bets |
| 0x3a59…a364 | Yes | 5,661 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| asosasaii0x964f…79a8 | Yes | 5,356 | 1.7¢ | $3 | — |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Safdar160x86f3…af44 | Yes | 4,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Terminatrader0xa8de…5976 | Yes | 4,333 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| kunsect70x1086…7b3c | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.92 per $100 · 1,614 bets |
| LeeAidena0xa11a…2eee | No | 2 | 96.9¢ | $2 | — |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | 3,842 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,253 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 3,097 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| markdenes0x4089…99d5 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| wasknijper0x2d65…beb4 | Yes | 2,740 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,161 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| ruslanbes0x66a5…56cb | Yes | 2,060 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 337 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,001 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,611 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,875 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,113 bets |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 1,777 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1,671 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| Joe-Biden0x8b5a…00f2 | Yes | 1,630 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$16.39 per $100 · 383 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,609 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,987 bets |
| SGLPNRSIO0x4c53…38f9 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| teru0xb045…9c46 | Yes | 1,500 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1,483 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| crypto.guru.0xc5ec…2218 | Yes | 1,445 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | Yes | 1,396 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,366 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | Yes | 1,250 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 9,228 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 1,212 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
| Chickenleg0x9d45…87cf | Yes | 1,161 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 1,142 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| pabss0xed2a…2606 | Yes | 1,125 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa727…1e15 | Yes | 1,060 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 1,045 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.20 per $100 · 20,747 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| gereamrolinkae0x6998…71a2 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| StayMindful0x7434…eeac | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| interficio0xc629…aa40 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| SomeOtherName0x8661…0e14 | Yes | 900 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| im3x8a7io4al0xf9fa…222b | Yes | 856 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 845 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 58,951 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.