Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mECH0x4891…14f3 | No | 162 | 98.9¢ | $162 | — |
| Htfujb0xc0c6…9326 | No | 104 | 96.2¢ | $104 | — |
| Vaaal0x67f2…e36d | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| dayuqisan0xaa73…19d0 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $100 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,039 bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 53,096 | 0.8¢ | $80 | — |
| Jermak0x3880…fe62 | No | 70 | 99.1¢ | $70 | — |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 35,653 | 1.8¢ | $53 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| expire0xb860…7a17 | No | 51 | 98.0¢ | $51 | — |
| Hanilus0x7ca1…ccad | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| RDRDRD0x9e0b…663c | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $50 | — |
| csgo990x0edb…5125 | No | 47 | 99.5¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | Yes | 29,438 | 1.0¢ | $44 | New61 settled bets |
| huyhbjkn0x3d29…ddd5 | No | 41 | 99.5¢ | $41 | — |
| cindy3770x2aff…052e | No | 41 | 98.7¢ | $41 | New48 settled bets |
| LKUHG0x94ca…1fbe | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 24,831 | 0.9¢ | $37 | — |
| 4356578980x3a1e…7aa6 | No | 37 | 99.9¢ | $37 | — |
| rdsd0x5187…fb21 | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | $36 | — |
| testingjp0x8592…c329 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.7¢ | $34 | — |
| YH7567dsad0x6f9a…9db6 | No | 34 | 99.9¢ | $34 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 21,936 | 3.6¢ | $33 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,570 bets |
| XRCCCloe0x3cef…ca33 | No | 30 | 98.8¢ | $30 | — |
| vsiv0x1465…f9f4 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| 41dominick0xc57d…03b0 | No | 30 | 94.4¢ | $30 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 17,680 | 0.1¢ | $27 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,848 bets |
| marketmeta0x0cc2…f465 | Yes | 16,876 | 7.4¢ | $25 | — |
| YTHGFGHHGJGHJG0xf407…f70f | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| twainilove0x17c6…ba8a | No | 25 | 98.3¢ | $25 | New48 settled bets |
| seye50x32bb…1cfd | No | 24 | 95.3¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 150 bets |
| hahahappy0x1d32…e863 | No | 23 | 95.1¢ | $23 | New76 settled bets |
| vfsdfsd0xf9c7…a0de | No | 23 | 99.5¢ | $23 | — |
| DACKOE0xc76f…fb3d | No | 21 | 95.1¢ | $21 | — |
| Ortwt0x7c1a…704c | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| 47840x9c62…008f | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 8KJI0880x9af9…8077 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| hightech80x1906…b52d | No | 20 | 97.0¢ | $20 | — |
| itutchjkbch90x3936…bf44 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| tvk290x6ae7…ade2 | No | 20 | 95.2¢ | $20 | — |
| hythegrewhn0xda56…e0c2 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 13,202 | 0.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| FGHFdsd0x7525…dd88 | No | 19 | 98.0¢ | $19 | — |
| hjgfhf7560xe3eb…9892 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| gfujdagsh30x8799…7717 | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| WaveKlip0x4a60…9e41 | No | 17 | 98.1¢ | $17 | — |
| jythrg0x9da9…0505 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 10,000 | 0.6¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb189…6181 | No | 15 | 97.8¢ | $15 | — |
| Frodo30x058b…7226 | No | 14 | 97.2¢ | $14 | — |
| dhncfjyu0x0356…6dd4 | No | 13 | 98.0¢ | $13 | — |
| JUYUYTH760x02cb…be3d | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| hjghkh0x6ac9…9070 | No | 11 | 98.1¢ | $11 | — |
| filimoncly0xa255…25c8 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Luponek0x402f…92b4 | No | 11 | 95.0¢ | $11 | — |
| wakaa0x598f…d956 | No | 10 | 95.7¢ | $10 | — |
| lalalaland0x4a94…a136 | Yes | 6,944 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| yerbamate0x1d2b…8384 | No | 10 | 96.3¢ | $10 | — |
| easywin-6220x75f7…950d | No | 10 | 96.3¢ | $10 | — |
| kllkdd0xd156…74f2 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 5,381 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| notmarketmaker0x06ae…f059 | Yes | 5,117 | 1.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 14,913 bets |
| 0xdb45…b5d6 | Yes | 4,444 | 5.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$21.94 per $100 · 864 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 4,346 | 2.9¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 3,663 | 2.2¢ | $5 | New44 settled bets |
| woeva0x22a7…8f74 | Yes | 3,553 | 1.5¢ | $5 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,479 | 3.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,513 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 2,994 | 0.9¢ | $4 | New14 settled bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 2,834 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Kar-9600x3331…eb45 | Yes | 2,667 | 0.3¢ | $4 | New6 settled bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| arbokbro0x0cc7…bc74 | Yes | 2,402 | 1.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb3fb…a324 | Yes | 2,335 | 2.1¢ | $4 | — |
| asosasaii0x964f…79a8 | Yes | 2,048 | 2.3¢ | $3 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 1,511 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | Yes | 1,396 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Jameel690xb7e8…64b9 | Yes | 1,333 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1,328 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,173 bets |
| 0xcb68…4851 | Yes | 1,300 | 6.7¢ | $2 | — |
| AMCL870x8a87…09a2 | Yes | 1,272 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| PNP0xf1dc…5460 | Yes | 1,268 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-2030x1c09…4795 | Yes | 1,245 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7f0f…edf5 | Yes | 1,187 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| SGLPNRSIO0x4c53…38f9 | Yes | 1,167 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 1,131 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,037 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,512 bets |
| Trestik0xf81a…eba3 | Yes | 1,020 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| robertoo0xadaf…6eb9 | Yes | 1,004 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | Yes | 1,000 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| AlexZ70x3896…ece6 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 313 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 998 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0xd2cb…7729 | Yes | 947 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 937 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.28 per $100 · 3,944 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 916 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 863 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 753 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 715 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 451 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | 156 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.