Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 824 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 58,951 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 811 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 610 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 534 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,113 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 431 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| golfs20050x4299…3722 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.92 per $100 · 391 bets |