Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,339 | 65.9¢ | $1.4K | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| rabbit0070xf2aa…21fb | Yes | 1,393 | 46.2¢ | $836 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tonymountaina0xed8b…7954 | Yes | 902 | 50.9¢ | $541 | — |
| 0x6284…ac6c | Yes | 487 | 62.5¢ | $292 | — |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | No | 586 | 35.7¢ | $234 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 288 | 3.3¢ | $173 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,613 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
|
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 96.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.