Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,339 | 65.9¢ | $1.4K | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| rabbit0070xf2aa…21fb | Yes | 1,393 | 46.2¢ | $836 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tonymountaina0xed8b…7954 | Yes | 902 | 50.9¢ | $541 | — |
| 0x6284…ac6c | Yes | 487 | 62.5¢ | $292 | — |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | No | 586 | 35.7¢ | $234 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 288 | 3.3¢ | $173 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| piiicock0x185e…ba62 | Yes | 260 | 68.0¢ | $156 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 210 | 3.3¢ | $126 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 297 | 46.8¢ | $119 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| 0xd4ed…c43d | Yes | 189 | 54.2¢ | $113 | — |
| Benel150x171a…d41d | Yes | 173 | 61.1¢ | $104 | — |
| Pablittle0x907c…23c1 | Yes | 172 | 59.6¢ | $103 | — |
| Kingheep0xcda4…3b8d | Yes | 149 | 54.6¢ | $89 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 125 | 35.7¢ | $75 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 164 | 52.7¢ | $66 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | 150 | 56.6¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Lowriskbids0x9872…b31f | Yes | 100 | 61.3¢ | $60 | — |
| smarttradder0xea28…3a0b | Yes | 100 | 68.0¢ | $60 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 77 | 55.8¢ | $46 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 68 | 57.6¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| myibaba0x9277…6d28 | Yes | 67 | 60.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 67 | 0.0¢ | $40 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| 0x9b02…826a | Yes | 60 | 57.0¢ | $36 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 55 | 3.3¢ | $33 | — |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | No | 80 | 50.0¢ | $32 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 50 | 3.3¢ | $30 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,113 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 42 | 30.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 40 | 63.8¢ | $24 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| mamboNB50x1c00…7af4 | Yes | 30 | 0.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 40 | 51.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 26 | 62.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 55.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| wetarded0x9c2f…07d3 | Yes | 20 | 50.2¢ | $12 | — |
| df4440xa68d…e03b | Yes | 20 | 38.9¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xfec4…cfc8 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $12 | — |
| weiweigo0x4d2d…e40d | Yes | 19 | 60.0¢ | $11 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 18 | 67.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 24 | 56.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 21 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| buyaoshangtou10x7afb…61ea | No | 20 | 0.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 354 bets |
| 0xd5cd…e2be | No | 20 | 44.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 19 | 59.1¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| ROLBKEY0xe0b2…a906 | Yes | 12 | 60.0¢ | $7 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 18 | 50.9¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| ergvdfd0xd51e…1ce6 | Yes | 10 | 52.0¢ | $6 | — |
| fenabg0x1c07…72df | Yes | 8 | 60.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LuckyOctopus0x7f48…ec6e | Yes | 8 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 36.0¢ | $4 | — |
| g0o248a9wfh50x13a6…c34d | Yes | 6 | 68.6¢ | $4 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 6 | 2.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 6 | 32.9¢ | $2 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 5 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Sta123123cxz0x04e3…69d1 | Yes | 3 | 51.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | 4 | 51.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4915…6db9 | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 2 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghfjk0x8d4a…b5c0 | Yes | 2 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| belorus11990xa0a5…9edf | Yes | 2 | 62.9¢ | $1 | — |
| kulihu0xc916…61a4 | Yes | 2 | 62.9¢ | $1 | — |
| vivster170x1932…4f0c | Yes | 2 | 64.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1540…4ec9 | Yes | 2 | 66.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf583…1208 | Yes | 1 | 68.6¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 55.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 1 | 66.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 1 | 42.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 0 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,328 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 49.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 39.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 34.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 0 | 36.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| greedcash0x8ff1…996c | No | 0 | 64.3¢ | $0 | — |
| KZzzsj0x7c3f…ff8d | No | 0 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pegasus70xc0aa…3259 | No | 0 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tiromi0x0dfe…e95b | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 68.9¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.