Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 675 | 88.0¢ | $617 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,239 bets |
| biloute0x2ab0…95fb | No | 353 | 84.7¢ | $323 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 2,210 | 10.2¢ | $188 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 1,383 | 13.7¢ | $118 | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 1,000 | 23.0¢ | $85 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 495 bets |
| nnss0x93ca…4472 | No | 60 | 84.5¢ | $54 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 98.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.